Pick-Up Projected in Home Improvement Activity Moving into 2016

By / 1 year ago

Cambridge, MA – The extended easing of gains in residential improvement spending is expected to change course by early next year, according to the Leading Indicator of Remodeling Activity (LIRA) released today by the Remodeling Futures Program at the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University. The LIRA projects annual spending growth for home improvements will accelerate to 4.0% by the first quarter of 2016.

“A major driver of the anticipated growth in remodeling spending is the recent pick up in home sales activity,” says Chris Herbert, Managing Director of the Joint Center. “Recent homebuyers typically spend about a third more on home improvements than non-movers, even after controlling for any age or income differences, so increasing sales this year should translate to stronger improvement spending gains next year.”

“Other signals of strengthening remodeling activity include sustained growth in retail sales of home improvement products and ongoing gains in house prices across much of the country,” says Abbe Will, a research analyst in the Remodeling Futures Program at the Joint Center. “Rising home prices means rising home equity, which should encourage improvement spending by a growing number of owners.”

leading indicator of remodeling activity - q2 2015

NOTE ON LIRA MODEL:  Beginning with the first quarter 2014 release, long-term interest rates were removed from the LIRA estimation model.  For more information on the reasons for and implications of this change, please visit the housing perspective blog.

Source: The Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies

LBM Journal

LBM Journal is the leading media company serving lumberyards, building material distributors, wholesalers, manufacturers, and service providers. Have news you would like to share with us? Go to lbmjournal.com/submit-news-to-us